Artificially Intelligent

Any mimicry distinguishable from the original is insufficiently advanced.

  • The Simulation Hypothesis Undercuts the SIA/Great Filter Doomsday Argument

    | 2238 words

    This post was written by Mark Xu based on interviews with Carl Shulman. It was paid for by Open Philanthropy but is not representative of their views. Summary The absence of evidence for extraterrestrial life suggests the existence of a Great Filter, a set of factors that in combination drive...

  • How well can people distinguish tastes?

    | 601 words

    Recently, my friend claimed that he could tell the difference between two brands of sparkling water. I expressed skepticism. After testing, I’m now moderately confident that he can. The reason I was skeptical seems to be downstream of a tendency I have to assign less weight than other people on...

  • TAP Inventory

    | 753 words

    The acronym TAP stands for trigger-action planning/pattern and describes roughly what people think of as “habits.” A particularly interesting application of this concept is to mental habits, patterns of thinking that might robustly cause individuals to have better reasoning and decision-making abilities. Here are some of the mental habits that...

  • Answering Questions Honestly in the Game of Life

    | 2655 words

    This post is the result of a week I spent working with Paul Christiano on problem 2 in Answering questions honestly given world-model mismatches. It is incomplete and probably doesn’t make sense, but I’m publishing it anyway because I don’t want to make it better and I don’t want to...

  • Style Guide: How to Sound Like an Evil Robot

    | 594 words

    Epistemic status: shitpost containing many internal contradictions. Some people even say that I talk kind of like a robot. I think this is probably a bad thing, but maybe you think it’s a good thing. If you’re interested in going all the way, here’s a set of best practices for...

  • Signs that Something's Wrong

    | 973 words

    I’m interested in making sure that I can do productive labor, such as thinking and writing. Often, when I find myself unable to function at peak performance, it’s because one of my basic needs hasn’t been met - I haven’t been sleeping well, am dehydrated, etc. Due to a frustrating...

  • If you weren't such a idiot...

    | 518 words

    My friend Buck once told me that he often had interactions with me that felt like I was saying “If you weren’t such a fucking idiot, you would obviously do…” Here’s a list of such advice in that spirit. Note that if you do/don’t do these things, I’m technically calling...

  • Buying Enough Snacks

    | 280 words

    One thing that annoys me is when parties and other such events fail to provide enough snacks for their guests. I imagine the hosts of these events worrying about wasting food and money and thus trying to purchase an amount of food that will all be eaten. In my world,...

  • Fractional progress estimates for AI timelines and implied resource requirements

    | 2150 words

    Crossposted from the AI Alignment Forum. May contain more technical jargon than usual. This post was written by Mark Xu based on interviews with Carl Shulman. It was paid for by Open Philanthropy but is not representative of their views. A draft was sent to Robin Hanson for review but...

  • Intermittent Distillations #4

    | 2949 words

    The Semiconductor Supply Chain: Assessing National Competitiveness (Saif M. Khan, Alexander Mann, Dahlia Peterson) The Semiconductor Supply Chain: Assessing National Competitiveness Summary This report analyzes the current supply chain for semiconductors. It particularly focuses on which portions of the supply chain are controlled by US and its allies and China....